Tucker Summit CID Board Member and OnPace Partners Industrial Real Estate Broker Stephen Bridges offers insight into the current state of the commercial real estate market in our district and surrounding areas.
The vacancy rate in the Tucker/Stone Mountain Submarket has remained low at 4.4%, which is below the pre-pandemic rates and the marketwide average of 7.4%. This is due to the sustained demand for infill industrial sites near Atlanta’s urban core and the limited supply additions. However, the year-over-year rent growth of 6.0% has fallen below the submarket’s 10-year average of about 7.5%.
Industrial deals totaling about $98.6 million closed in the past 12 months — a decrease from $122 million in 2022. These transactions closed at an average of approximately 16% below the asking price, compared to about 5% in 2022. Notably, all sales over the past year were for less than $10 million, with the majority involving older, smaller assets, as big-box asset sales are infrequent.
Some industrial spaces in the submarket are being repurposed for other uses. For instance, in February, The Faith Center acquired a 143,000 SF warehouse from Ricoh Americas Corporation for $9.25 million or $65/SF, with plans to renovate the property for use as a church.
Despite elevated interest rates and economic uncertainty, infill properties have remained attractive to investors. In May 2023, Dallas-based ATCAP Partners purchased a four-property portfolio from San Francisco-based private equity firm TPG and Atlanta-based Dogwood Industrial Properties for $44 million or $317/SF. In July 2023, Minnesota-based Onward Investors acquired a seven-property portfolio of infill, smaller-bay properties in Atlanta, including the 1974-built Stone Mountain Business Park, for $39.5 million at a 5.45% cap rate.